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【519039基金】一周期市减少资金百亿:爆仓还是转场(2016-11-21)

519039基金

519039基金——东阿阿胶股吧

  从11月11日的集体“大跌”到11月18日的分化趋势,大宗商品波动性减弱,市场趋于稳定。不过,截至18日收盘,大宗商品市场已减少约100亿资金。
  据文华财经监测,截至11月11日收盘,期货市场存准资金1002.3亿元,持仓2785万个。截至18日收盘,期货市场存款902.8亿元,持仓2420万手。也就是说,自11月11日极端行情以来,期货市场累计下跌约99.5亿元。

  从行业看,化工行业流出35.5亿元,黑色行业流出17.1亿元,集饲料、石油、软商品、粮食为一体的农业行业流出50多亿元。不过,有色板块商品有1000万资金流入。
  其中,钢铁和煤炭的资金选择有较大分化。钢铁期货方面,螺纹沉淀基金由11日的68.5亿元降至18日的54.3亿元,铁矿石沉淀基金由71.6亿元降至59.7亿元,热卷沉淀基金也由9亿元降至7.6亿元。总体来看,11日极端行情过后,共有27.5亿元资金逃离了钢板期货。

519039基金——盛达资源

  另一方面,煤炭板块降水资金不减反增,共流入10.4亿元。其中,焦炭沉淀基金由11日的87.3亿元增加到94.2亿元,焦煤沉淀基金由42.6亿元增加到43.2亿元,郑煤沉淀基金由16.5亿元增加到19.4亿元。

  资本平衡的倾斜对价格也有很好的解释。统计显示,上周黑色大宗商品主力合约中,螺纹钢、铁矿石、热卷的周跌幅分别为11.32%、10.33%和8.65%;与钢材期货相比,焦煤、焦炭期货的周跌幅相对较小,分别为4.99%和6.03%。虽然这些大宗商品合约的持仓量和成交量与前一周相比有所下降,但螺纹交易量降幅最大,超过1200万手。
  On the 18th, while some energy, chemical and agricultural products were stabilizing, black products were still green.By the end of the day, the main contracts of iron ore, screw thread and hot coil were down 4.63%, 3.09% and 2.70% respectively, while the main contracts of coking coal, coke and Zhengmei were down 4.15%, 2.21% and 0.50% respectively.

519039基金——四川车祸

  Black commodities, especially steel futures, have been falling continuously.In addition to the factors of capital leaving the market, they are also related to the weakness of spot fundamentals.
  According to the statistics of “my steel network”, as of November 18, the national average price of rebar was 3038 yuan / ton, down 123 yuan / ton or 3.9% compared with the previous week; the national average prices of hot rolling and cold rolling were 3315 yuan / ton and 4235 yuan / ton, down 3.3% and 1.1% respectively.

  ”My steel network” analyst Zhang Chenliang told Shanghai stock exchange news that the fall of steel futures and current prices, the recovery of steel factory inventory and the narrowing of social inventory decline all show that the balance of supply and demand in the steel market has changed, and it is expected that the negative factors of rebar will still be released next week.However, the delivery of iron ore contracts in recent months is approaching, and there is little chance of a substantial short, and the absolute inventory of various varieties is still at a low level, so the spot does not have the basis for a substantial decline.

519039基金——南山铝业股票

  Different from steel spot market, coal spot market is still strong.According to the “my iron and steel network” monitoring, on the 18th, the main coking coal price in Tangshan was 1450 yuan / ton, the same as last week.Coke prices continued to rise sharply.On the 18th, the absolute price index of Mysteel coke was 2037.5 yuan / ton, up 139.7 yuan / ton or 7.4% from Friday.The arrival price of Tangshan secondary metallurgical coke was 2215 yuan / ton, up 175 yuan / ton or 12.7% from the previous week.
  Based on the performance of the spot market, “my steel network” analysts believe that the shortage of coking coal resources may continue, and it is expected that the short-term coking coal price will have strong support.Considering the factors of raw materials, demand and transportation, the price of coke spot market is easy to rise but difficult to fall in the short term.

  [related news]

  
  Since the beginning of this year, the black varieties represented by coking coal, coke, iron ore and rebar have experienced several rounds of significant rise and market fluctuation, and the positions and trading volume have also been greatly expanded.

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