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【300350股票】数据揭秘!楼市新一轮限购潮为何来得突然(2017-03-20)

300350股票——550002

  Don’t be surprised that Beijing, Guangzhou and other hot cities issued their property market regulation policies on the 17th.
  On the morning of the 18th, the National Bureau of statistics released the February property market data of 70 large and medium-sized cities.数据显示,这些楼市调控政策升级的城市新建商品房或二手房价格已触及“环比不涨”的红线。

  分析人士预测,房价涨幅最高的城市以及城市圈外溢效应导致房价压力明显上升的三四线市县热点地区,将有限购、限贷升级的可能。
  70个城市房价环比上涨

300350股票——150158

  国家统计局数据显示,2月份,70个大中城市中,新建商品住宅价格环比上涨的城市有56个,比上月增加11个。

  就涨幅而言,据易居研究院测算,2月份70个大中城市新建商品住宅价格环比上涨0.3%,涨幅大于1月份的0.2%。
  易居研究院智库中心研究总监严跃进表示,3月份以来,全国各地调控政策趋紧,可见房价上涨的潜在压力依然存在。

300350股票——水皮杂谈

  不过,颜跃进认为,随着政策效果的释放,部分城市房价过快上涨的现象有望减少,预计上半年全国70个城市房价指数走势将处于平稳运行区间。
  部分热点城市房价出现反弹

  与国家二环楼市监测局1月份的数据相比,部分城市房价出现反弹。

300350股票——碧水源

  以天津为例,新房价格环比上涨2.4%,两市环比上涨0.4%。此外,广州新建房价环比涨幅也从1月份的0.6%扩大到2月份的0.9%。
  虽然北京新房价格环比下降0.1%,但作为二手房市场较为活跃的区域,2月份北京二手房价格环比上涨1.3%。

  此外,多个出台限购政策的城市二手房价格也出现上涨。其中,广州、长沙、郑州、石家庄二手房价格分别上涨2.7%、1.2%、0.6%、0.4%。

  联佳集团董事长左辉表示:“从理论上讲,严格的金融政策对控制房价上涨肯定会有显著效果。预计下一步北京市场将更加稳定。”
  From the current local policies, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen four first tier cities and Hefei, Xiamen, Nanjing, Suzhou, Nanchang five second tier cities have adopted the policy of “housing and loan recognition”.

  Rising house prices in third tier cities
  According to the Statistics Bureau, in February, the price of new commercial housing in the first tier cities rose slightly by 0.1% month on month, the second tier cities rose by 0.3%, and the third tier cities rose by 0.4%.In terms of cities, the housing prices in the third tier cities are leading the increase in the month on month.

  According to the year-on-year data, the year-on-year increase in the price of new commercial housing in the third tier cities expanded slightly, with an increase of 0.3 percentage point in February compared with January.In the same period, the year-on-year increase of new housing in first tier cities and second tier cities showed a downward trend.
  Xia Dan, researcher of Bank of communications Financial Research Center, said that in addition to the support of loose policy environment, the more direct factor for the rise of house prices in the third tier cities is to undertake the spillover demand after the regulation of core cities.

  It is worth noting that recently, more and more third – and fourth tier cities have joined the army of purchase restriction.Since April, the proportion of down payment has been increased in cities such as Jiaxing in Jiangxi Province, Chuzhou in Anhui Province, and Sanya in Anhui Province.These hot third and fourth tier cities have a common feature, which are provincial sub central cities or distributed around the core cities in the urban circle.
  According to the rough statistics of Shanghai Securities News, so far in March, 17 cities have launched or upgraded the purchase restriction policy.However, analysts generally believe that the scope of purchase restriction will continue to expand, and the implementation of regulatory policies may also be further enhanced.

  Xia Dan said that the market should not underestimate the determination of real estate regulation.From the current situation, maintaining reasonable price elasticity is the primary task.Whether it is the first, second, third or fourth tier cities, any situation that deviates from the housing demand and the housing price rises sharply may lead to the rapid follow-up of regulatory measures.
  She believes that the cities with the highest house price increase and the hot spots in the third and fourth tier cities and counties (especially the cities and counties in Hebei around Beijing, Dongguan and Huizhou around Shenzhen, Kunshan and Jiaxing around Shanghai, etc.) where the overflow effect of urban circle leads to the obvious increase of house price rise pressure have the possibility of upgrading the purchase and loan restrictions.

300350股票

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